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Bitcoin's Coinbase Premium falls to monthly low after Senate rejects CLARITY Act

Bitcoin's Coinbase Premium falls to monthly low after Senate rejects CLARITY Act

US Bitcoin demand drops as CLARITY Act fails in the Senate

Bitcoin demand from US traders fell sharply after the US Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act, a major piece of crypto legislation. The Coinbase Premium Index, which compares Bitcoin prices on Coinbase (a US exchange) and Binance (a global exchange), dropped to -0.079 on Tuesday, its lowest level since August 16.

The Senate did not reach the 60 votes needed to move the bill forward, leaving only a few options to bring the legislation back to debate before 2027, according to the source.

Key numbers from the report

  • The Coinbase Premium Index fell to -0.079 on Tuesday, the lowest since August 16, 2026.
  • Short-term holders sent 34,000 BTC to exchanges in the last 24 hours.
  • Around 23,200 BTC was moved to exchanges at a loss, the largest amount in a month.
  • Bitcoin's previous all-time high was $126,200 in October 2025.
  • On August 16, BTC/USD traded around $63,000.

What the Coinbase Premium Index shows

The Coinbase Premium Index tracks the price gap between Coinbase's and Binance's BTC/USDT trading pairs. A negative value means demand from Coinbase users is weaker than from Binance users. The index briefly turned positive at the start of the week, reaching 0.004, before falling deeper on Monday.

According to Cointelegraph, the Coinbase Premium has spent much of 2026 in negative territory, reflecting an outflow of investor capital since Bitcoin's October 2025 high.

Analyst flags a split between US and offshore markets

Onchain analyst Willy Woo noted that selling behavior on Coinbase diverged from Binance around the time of the Senate vote. Woo shared a chart of cumulative volume delta (CVD) data since September 6, showing that Binance CVD started moving higher around September 11 while Coinbase continued to decline.

"I see the US selling with the failed Clarity Act (on Coinbase) Meanwhile the more dominant global offshore continues accumulating (on Binance)," Woo wrote on X, describing the situation as "bullish."

Short-term holders send BTC to exchanges at a loss

According to onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, the bulk of the selling after the CLARITY vote came from newer Bitcoin investors known as short-term holders (STH), wallets holding unspent coins for less than six months. These holders sent up to 34,000 BTC to exchanges over a rolling 24-hour period, with most of the coins transferred at a price lower than when they were last moved onchain.

"With 23,200 BTC sent to exchanges at a loss, this STH capitulation event is the largest recorded over the past month," CryptoQuant reported in a blog post.

What is unclear

The source notes that only a handful of options remain to bring the CLARITY Act back to debate before 2027, but does not detail what those options are. It is also unclear whether the selling pressure from short-term holders will continue or ease.

Why it matters

The data suggests that US-based Bitcoin traders reacted more strongly to the CLARITY Act failure than traders on offshore exchanges. The divergence between Coinbase and Binance is being watched as a signal of how US-specific policy news can shape local demand for Bitcoin, even as global markets move in a different direction.

Sources

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