Strive's Matt Cole predicts roughly 50% annual Bitcoin returns into 2030
Strive CEO predicts about 50% annual Bitcoin returns into 2030
Strive CEO Matt Cole laid out his outlook for Bitcoin in a video interview published by Bitcoin Magazine on September 15, 2026. Speaking with interviewers Grace Remington and Sean Hagan, Cole said his base case is roughly 50% annual Bitcoin returns through 2030.
The number is a forecast, not a confirmed outcome. The article's headline refers to "30% growth into 2030," while its summary describes "roughly 50% annualized returns" through the same year. The two figures do not match, and the source does not explain the difference.
Key points from the interview
- Cole's base case is about 50% annual Bitcoin returns into 2030.
- He expects the Federal Reserve and the Treasury to step in to hold down long-term Treasury rates.
- When that happens, he says, the dollar becomes the "release valve" and scarce assets rise in price.
- He argues Bitcoin is reclaiming its place as the "fastest horse" against gold.
Cole's three-part macro thesis
Cole's argument links three things: the direction of the dollar, long-end Treasury rates (the yield on long-term U.S. government debt), and Bitcoin's performance relative to gold. In his view, once the Fed and Treasury act to suppress long-end rates, pressure shifts onto the dollar, and assets with limited supply, such as Bitcoin, benefit.
What is confirmed and what is a claim
Confirmed: Cole gave this interview and stated these views. Bitcoin Magazine published it on September 15, 2026, and recorded his forecast and macro argument.
Claim, not fact: the 50% annual return figure and the thesis behind it. These are Cole's predictions and opinions. Bitcoin Magazine's own disclaimer says the views expressed belong to the participants and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or affiliated entities. The publisher also states the content is informational and educational, and is not investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice, nor an offer to buy or sell securities.
Why this matters
The interview shows how a financial-company CEO ties Bitcoin's future path to U.S. fiscal and monetary policy. Because the forecast depends on future decisions by the Fed and Treasury, it is a prediction rather than a certainty. The publisher's disclaimer is a reminder that such views should be treated as one participant's opinion, not as guidance to act on.
