U.S. CFTC sues Utah over Kalshi betting as prediction-market legal battle widens
The CFTC sues Utah to keep Kalshi operating
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filed a federal lawsuit against Utah to stop the state from enforcing its ban on Kalshi's betting products. Utah's attorney general had been trying to halt the prediction market platform from offering contracts to residents.
The move is the latest step in a long-running clash between the federal regulator and states that view gambling as illegal within their borders. Gambling is prohibited under Utah's constitution, and the state has said no law authorizes Kalshi's activities there.
Kalshi sells event contracts, which let people take positions on the outcome of future events. The CFTC says these contracts are not gambling but useful financial tools that help people hedge risk and share information about upcoming events.
Key points
- The CFTC filed its lawsuit on Tuesday to block Utah's enforcement effort against Kalshi.
- A federal judge in Utah previously ruled in favor of the state, but that decision is under appeal.
- Three federal appellate courts have issued conflicting rulings: two sided with states, one sided with Kalshi.
- The CFTC says it is the sole federal authority over prediction markets, a position it has defended in court.
- Utah Attorney General Derek Brown accused Kalshi of running an online casino available to Utah residents.
What the federal agency is arguing
According to CFTC Chairman Mike Selig, event contracts "serve hedging and investment purposes" while also giving the public information about future outcomes. In a statement, Selig defended what he sees as his agency's exclusive legal role over prediction markets.
The agency says its federal authority overrides state gambling laws when it comes to these markets. That legal principle is called preemption, and it is the core of the dispute.
The legal picture so far
The court rulings have not been consistent. Three federal appellate courts have produced two decisions favoring states and one favoring Kalshi. In Utah specifically, a U.S. district court judge sided with the state, but the case is currently on appeal.
The CFTC said it is now fighting 10 states in court and filing arguments across different levels of the judicial system. The agency said this is happening even as staffing has been reduced by the Trump administration's efforts to shrink U.S. regulatory forces.
What remains uncertain
It is not clear which side will ultimately win. Courts have reached different conclusions in similar cases, and Utah's case is still moving through the appeals process. The outcome will affect not only Kalshi but other prediction market firms operating in states with gambling bans.
Why this matters
The case defines who controls prediction markets in the United States. If the federal regulator prevails, platforms like Kalshi could continue offering event contracts nationwide regardless of state gambling laws. If states prevail, more states could block or restrict these products.
The result may eventually reach the U.S. Supreme Court. Former CFTC chairman Gary Gensler filed a brief with the court earlier this month in a related prediction-market case.